Take a hike: on the trail to Versailles

Trail to Versailles

Today was the day to return to the forest trails. Seven weeks after a bad fall while working in the garden, it was finally time. So, out I went from Chaville, into Meudon Forest, along the trail to Versailles, and then back along the old road through the town of Viroflay. What a gorgeous environment and what a privilege to live in the middle of it all!

A few blocks from our front door I found the trail head and started up the hill, through the working forest of mostly deciduous trees. Some substantial cut oak tree trunks lined the path, ready to be hauled to the mill. But, thanks to the selective logging approach used in this forest, the hike still offered the prospect of immersion into nature.

The trail gained a bit of altitude and through the winter forest I had some great views of the valley leading to Versailles. After rounding a low rise, I approached a clearing and there — after doing a double take — I realized were a couple of kids practicing tight rope walking between the trees. And, they were pretty good at it. Not your typical forest activity!

Coming down the trail towards the Versailles city limit, I turned and took the old road through Viroflay. Parts of the road there were already in existence in Roman times. Later on, the road served as the route taken by the royal guards traveling between the Louvre Palace and Versailles. A couple of stretches of cobblestone still provide a hint that the road has been around for a while.

The town of Viroflay has preserved some nice bits of architecture pre-dating the French revolution. The manor of the Lords of Viroflay remains, nowadays serving as a music school. The former city hall and first school building are still there, next to the medieval church and several proper homes from royal times or shortly thereafter.

Before modern transport gave us all access to citrus fruit, the wealthy sometimes built a special structure called an “orangerie”, which is a sort of green house for keeping citrus trees year round. Today, I discovered that the town of Viroflay had installed solar panels on the roof of the local orangerie, proudly displaying the power production on a monitor on the side of the building. They re-purposed the sunlight!

With that, it was time for me to return home. I walked along the rail line back past the recently completed apartment complex for university students (also with solar cells on the roof). The new blends in well with the old. I came home feeling restored, ready to plot a future hike, perhaps going even further into the forest next time.

 A few photos from the hike (use arrows at bottom to scroll)

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Chaville to Versailles: A map

RIP: Albert Hirschman Exits

Exit, Voice and Loyalty

Some 20 years ago I was working with a Russian colleague to assess labor market developments in Russian enterprises during the economic transition. As these firms struggled in the face of a transition to a market economy, I was struggling to get a handle on the behavior of their management, workers and consumers. Then, my co-author pointed me to Exit, Voice and Loyalty, a little book by the economist Albert Hirschman.

Published back in 1970, Hirschman’s book offered a succinct and nuanced view of human interaction in economics and politics. Economics, in particular, had tended to oversimplify decision-making, emphasizing the role of price in driving choices of consumers, managers, suppliers and others. The decision to buy or sell was mainly seen as being driven by price. But, Hirschman took note of other factors that may on occasion cause some stickiness in the way the market functions.

Consumers, for example, may demonstrate loyalty in the face of declining quality in a product and, instead of switching, may agitate for management to fix the problems. Workers in a failing firm may speak up for reforms instead of simply quitting. Members of political parties may lobby for change within, rather than changing their allegiance to a rival party. On the other hand, in other cases, these folks might simply break the existing relationship and move on. Using engaging illustrations and clear explanations, Hirschman noted conditions that may shape the paths that such decision-making might take.

Hirschman’s optimism and clear writing style made Exit, Voice and Loyalty a pleasure to read. Discovering the analytical framework laid out in the book was a real eye-opener for me. It helped me to tackle the confusing situation in the Russian enterprises that we were studying. Here is one illustration: Back in the mid-1990s, why would so many Russian workers stay on with their employers, despite being unpaid for months? Answer: They still reaped some social and economic benefits from their affiliation, like housing or healthcare. Outside of the firms, conditions could be even worse for these individuals.

Hirschman’s analytical framework also had many other applications for me. Suddenly, I found a new means to assess, for example, my own difficult employment situation at the time or to ponder the political developments in my country. From time to time I still make reference to this book, which is now more than 40 years old.

Thus, it was with some sorrow that I learned last December that Albert Hirschman had passed away. Aged 97, he had lived a long and fruitful life. Hirschman made other contributions to economics, in particular with respect to challenges of economic development in Latin America. But, it was only upon reading his obituary that I learned of his other impressive  accomplishments.

And here is the amazing part

According to the New York Times obit, Albert Hirschman was born in Berlin in 1915 and by the 1930s had advanced in his study of economics. However, he also made time to join in the Spanish civil war on the side of the anti-fascists. He later joined the French Army to resist the Nazis. After France fell, he worked as part of a team helping people escape via routes over the Pyrenees. He then made his way to the United States and joined the Office of Strategic Services to assist the US army in North Africa and Italy, as well as to serve during an early war crimes trial. And that was all before he moved to Bogota, Colombia, as an economic adviser for a few years and then launched a 30 year academic career at Yale, Colombia and Harvard.

Wow! A full life indeed! Thank you, Albert Hirschman. May you rest in peace.

A concussion, but then came the siskins

The past month has not been a fun one for me. A bad fall left me with a concussion and other injuries. I had my first-ever hospitalization and drew on medical services from a range of providers across the region south-west of Paris. Friends, family and colleagues lent their support, while nature also chipped in some entertainment.

Access to health care – mending a concussion

The experience gave me a first-hand look at emergency health care in France and really reinforced my appreciation for the social protection available to me. I had ready access to quality medical care. My employer was extremely helpful in providing moral support, sick leave and insurance coverage. In addition to all the care provided by my dear spouse, friends and colleagues checked in on me and helped me to maintain a positive attitude despite the slow pace of recovery. While I was able to do a little work from home, I am grateful that the system encouraged me to focus first of all on my health.

Support from nature

Male Siskin in full spring courtship plumage (c) Martin Pateman, Schutterstock

Male Siskin in full spring courtship plumage
(c) Martin Pateman, Schutterstock

Meanwhile, nature was also doing its part to give me a boost. This week a new type of bird put in several appearances by our feeder: the siskin (in French: tarin des aulnes). They arrived in little flocks of 6 or 8, sporting striking spring plumage and spreading out to comb the ground in search of seed. At the same time, our various chickadees — especially the blue ones (mésanges bleues) — happily accommodated the siskins. The chickadees rooted through the food offered at the feeder, searching for peanuts and casting other seeds overboard in the process. Like manna from heaven, the siskins were bombarded with all sorts of goodies from the feeder, which helped to top off the ground-level food supply already available in our organic garden.

Complementary activities

This little show of nature complemented the other care and support that I’ve received in recent weeks. Taking place outside our dining room window, it boosted the morale of residents and visitors alike, and left me smiling. One more thing for which I am grateful!

 

 

 

 

 

State of Diversity: California

Saturday:

A news report on National Public Radio today noted that by next year, Hispanics would be displacing non-Hispanic whites as the largest ethnic group in California, the most populous state in the United States. A SF Gate article highlights the diversity of California: minorities already constitute the majority of the state’s population.

Visiting friends and family in Los Angeles this week, the diversity was clearly evident. During my late morning walk around an inner city neighborhood today, there were a number of people coming and going from the local conservative synagogue. I heard some of the men disputing on the sidewalk in a language that I did not recognize (not Hebrew). One block down the street I passed the local Coptic Orthodox Church (with a sign in Arabic by the door) and then, a few meters further, the Guru Ram Das Ashram. In the corner park, a group of Hispanic men sat on benches sipping coffee and discussing something engaging, as a group of young African-Americans played a pick-up game of basketball on the court behind them. In the distance, there were signs with Korean and Chinese characters for several Asian businesses. Billboards with images of pop star Psy hawked a brand of soju, a distilled beverage from Korea.

What an amazing mix of people and cultures is this California! And LA is a particularly mixed up corner of this great state (so to speak)!

View from the landing of an apartment on an alley in West LA

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Claremont, California

People of the sun: Claremont, California

There is something about the availability of ample sunshine that sometimes transforms the way people view the world. At least in temperate climates, it seems to me that sunshine tends to encourage an active lifestyle and lingering in the great outdoors, which in turn gives people opportunities to mix. These conditions can promote greater openness and perhaps friendliness among people. Although ozone depletion and climate change are giving the sun a bad name, it still seems that this sunshine effect continues to operate in many places. (NB, I freely admit that there are many exceptions, including for example Oregon, which is grey and damp for much of the year, yet generally open-minded, outdoors-oriented and friendly).

In recent years, we have spent some time with people of the sun in Claremont, California. The Santa Fe Railroad gave the town its name and promoted its development in the late 1800s. A place in the sun! Pomona College served as a catalyst for further development. Nowadays, Claremont is an open and outgoing place, a great town to walk around, with a vibrant town center, farmers market, cafes, restaurants and delis, colleges and academic institutions, botanical garden, cinema, and more. Trees arch over the roads. There is a hint of Spanish influence in some of the architecture. Outdoor opportunities abound via nice parks and access to large nature reserves in the mountains bordering the town to the north. Claremont is not entirely a world apart, of course. It remains surrounded by the Southern California sprawl, and all of the good and bad that that entails, from excellence in the creative economy, natural beauty and cultural diversity, to frenetic freeways and seasonal air pollution. Nonetheless, inside Claremont, calm tends to reign and the good vibes win out over such troubles.

The Wikipedia entry for Claremont gives a great overview of the town:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Claremont,_California.

Looking over a courtyard wall in Claremont

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Recommendations for great, low-key dining around Claremont

1) Downtown Claremont

42 Street Bagels, 225 Yale Street, Claremont, CA 91711; excellent bagels, friendly atmosphere, a low key and basic set up, but does a great job of delivering on its promise. Draws a crowd of regulars.

The Last Drop Cafe, 119 Harvard Ave., Claremont, CA 91711; excellent sandwiches and soup, way good chocolate chip cookies. This is a small establishment frequented by locals and students from the Claremont area. Free wifi.

Walter’s Restaurant, 308 N. Yale Ave., Claremont, CA 91711; quality dining, relaxed atmosphere with interesting menu (including some Near East-influenced fusion dishes) and great desserts, nice selection of wines & beers

2) In nearby (by LA standards) Arcadia

Din Tai Fung, 1088 S. Baldwin Ave, Arcadia, CA 91007; authentic Taiwanese-Shanghainese dumpling and noodle house, with a bustling atmosphere and great food, served by an attentive and friendly staff, without much fanfare; expect a line, but it is worth a short wait.

French-American Cultural Exchange: Fulbright, Cassatt & Bismarck

Tradition of French-American Cultural Exchange

Since the early days of the French and American republics, their political relations have been intense, vacillating between amity and periodic squabbles. Cultural ties, however, have been more consistently positive. From the Marquis de Lafayette to Patti Smith and beyond, there is a long tradition of French and Americans crossing the Atlantic and contributing to the cultural life in both countries. French-American cultural exchange plays an active and on-going role in intellectual cross-fertilization between the countries, contributing to wide-ranging developments such as the US Constitution and the rise of hip-hop in France. Much of this exchange is spontaneous, but some of it is more structured and supported via programs such as the Fulbright program for academic exchanges.

While French-American cultural exchange takes place through a variety of channels, its scale is quite significant. One indication of the scale can be found in Disneyland: In 2012, Disneyland Paris was the top tourist destination in France with 16 million visitors (though, of course, just a fraction of the visitors were French). Another indication can be found in several recent best-selling histories by authors such as David McCullough (1) and Stacey Schiff (2) documenting numerous exciting stories of the deep French-American cultural ties over the centuries.

A recent example

Living as an American in Paris, one has the opportunity to participate directly in the dynamic cross-cultural relationship between France and the United States through a variety of institutions. This weekend, for example, two wonderful institutions — the Mona Bismarck Center for Art and Culture and the Fulbright alumni association — came together to offer a great cross-cultural experience in the form of a guided tour of the first exposition in France of a special collection of Mary Cassatt’s etchings, drawings and pastels.

Stamp shows picture of "The boating party" by Mary Cassatt, circa 1966. Photo credit: rook76 / Shutterstock.com

US stamp (ca. 1966) shows a picture of               “The boating party” by Mary Cassatt
Photo credit: rook76 / Shutterstock.com

Mary Cassatt (1844-1926) is a prime example of such cross-cultural ties. She was the only American among the leading Impressionist artists in France. She was an extraordinary artist who pioneered new approaches for etchings and pastels, for which she was awarded the French Chevalier de la Legion d’Honneur in 1904. This was an amazing achievement, particularly given that she was an immigrant working in a foreign culture in field that was at the time largely male-dominated.

Fulbright and Bismarck

The Fulbright program as founded after WWII at the initiative of US Senator J. William Fulbright with the objective of promoting mutual understanding. The program sponsors students and faculty wishing to study, research or teach abroad; it supports Americans going abroad as well as foreigners coming to the USA. In France, it is supported by both the US and French governments.

As an alumnus of the Fulbright Fellowship program (Germany, 1979-80), the chance to belong to the Fulbright alumni association in Paris gave me a ready-made social group and access to the flow of cross-cultural exchange here including the Cassatt exhibition. The Fulbright alumni association helps to renew the Fulbright experience in an ongoing fashion via cross cultural events. An annual reunion of alumni and celebration of those going or coming under the program is attended by hundreds of folks at the residence of the American ambassador in Paris. The depth of cross-cultural good will at the reunion events is evidence of the potential for such programs to bridge international divides.

Mona Bismarck (1897-1983) is an example of an American expatriate who left a legacy promoting cross-cultural understanding: the Mona Bismarck American Center for Arts and Culture. Bismarck grew up on a horse farm in Kentucky and was a wealthy American heiress. A socialite with extraordinary connections, she worked to promote friendship between France and the United States. After the death of her first husband, American industrialist Harrison Williams, she married Edward Bismarck, the grandson of former German Chancellor Otto von Bismarck. The Foundation and center that she established have carried on after her death to promote Franco-American friendship via exhibitions, events, educational programs and hosting non-profit associations. There is a steady stream of cross-cultural activity at the Center, which is located in a villa on the Seine with a stunning view of the Eiffel Tower.

Why it matters

Institutions such as the Fulbright Fellowship program and the Mona Bismarck American Center deliver substantive and qualitative programs that help to expand peoples’ horizons. Such cross-cultural exchange can be positively transformative for individuals, broadening their perspectives and range of experience. I think this cross-cultural exchange also helps society more broadly. The influence of institutions such the Fulbright Program and Mona Bismarck American Center is amplified in France and the United States in that they deliver benefits beyond the direct participants. Indirectly, the larger circle of professional contacts, friends and families of participants is also influenced. From anecdotal evidence and experience at French-American cultural events, it certainly appears that this outreach to the larger society helps to provide learning opportunities, combat prejudices and promote mutual understanding. And that is in all of our interests!

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(1) David McCullough (2011), The Greater Journey: Americans in Paris, Simon & Schuster.

(2) Stacy Schiff (2005), The Great Improvisation: Franklin, France, and the Birth of America.

Aachen – A Medieval Gem

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Aachen, Germany, is a wonderful small city near the border with Belgium and Netherlands. Charlemagne, king of the Franks made Aachen his capital in the 790s, in part because of the warm springs that are to be found there. His empire united the two halves of the Frankish people, both the Latin and Germanic oriented populations. Even today, the French and German peoples count Aachen as part of their heritage (though the French call it Aix-la-Chapelle).

However, even though Aachen is just a few hours drive from Paris, it has much different feel. Coming from Paris, the signs along the highway already shift from French to German a few kilometers before reaching the Belgian-German border. (There are a few German-speaking towns in Belgium.)

Once in Aachen, we are always struck by the restaurants, cafes, pubs and bakeries and the obvious gastronomic contrasts with those in our hometown in France. In Aachen, the food and drink are tuned to central European preferences and sensibilities. The beer offering shifts away from the sour and strong brews of Belgium (or sometimes watery beers of France) and towards the lighter but flavorful Pilsners and Koelsches. Goose and schnitzel turn up on the menus. Savory rolls of rye or whole wheat are to be had, along with kaiser rolls decked out with lox, onions and lettuce.

Aachen’s center has a comfortable feel with an extensive pedestrian zone that meanders among the old stones of the medieval city. It offers a balanced mix of museums and sites of historical interest, eating and drinking establishments, shops and parks.

The chapel from Charlemagne’s palace survives and forms the center of the current cathedral. It may be that one of the towers of city hall incorporates another part of the palace, but in any event the city hall is a splendid old structure in its own right. There are several of the original city gates still standing, as well as other interesting architectural features in some of the houses and shops. Together, these structures give Aachen an old and dark, but warm atmosphere.

Aachen has become a traditional destination for my family just prior to Christmas. Each December (through 23 Dec), there is a sprawling Christmas market along the pedestrian zones. The city is decorated with holiday lights and greenery. There is a festive atmosphere with convivial crowds of happy people patronizing stands selling hot mulled wine, stollen, cookies, bratwurst and potato pancakes, as well as all sorts of holiday gifts. Many stands offer handmade and artisanal products. There are brass bands and piped in Christmas music in the city squares, as well as choral presentations at the cathedral and other churches. The weather is often lousy, but the Christmas decorations brighten everything, regardless. It is wunderbar!

Recommendations:

Nobis: fine bakery; eat in (self-serve) or carry out; great for lunch (nice sandwiches), or coffee & cakes, special cookies, gingerbread, and other baked treats.

Rose am Dom: nice restaurant in an old inn (14th century) serving hearty, quality meals. In season, they serve game such as duck, goose, wild boar and venison as well as wild mushroom soup.

Aachener Dom (cathedral): a wonderful architectural gem built to house relics of the Virgin Mary. The heart of the structure is Charlemagne’s octagonal palace chapel, with an amazing, newly restored interior with elements from various periods. Take the docent tour, which offers interesting history and explanations, as well as a chance to see the throne of the Frankish kings possibly dating back to Charlemagne’s time.

Cathedral treasury museum: this is also worth a visit! It contains many interesting artifacts and relics including a marvelous reliquary with part of Charlemagne’s arm (bones).

City hall: Tourists can visit this medieval structure and see the great hall and several other fine rooms. Be sure to check out the city council chamber, which includes portraits of Napoleon and Josephine (gifts from the Napoleon to the city).

Aquis Grana Hotel This hotel is very centrally located, near the cathedral and Nobis, and offers a fine breakfast. Park your car in the city garage across the street and leave it there during your stay. Aachen is a city to explore on foot.

US Exports and Jobs

How many workers does it take to produce each USD 1 billion of exports?

Here is a positive story concerning US exports and jobs: a new report from the US Dept of Commerce shows exports expanding while also having a positive relationship to certain labour market indicators. (The assessment uses an employment requirements analysis to document the labor intensity of US exports.)

According to the report, US manufacturing has steadily become more productive with respect to exports. Producing US 1 billion in merchandise exports now requires far fewer workers than in 1993:

1993: 14050 workers per USD 1 billion exports
2010: 6115 workers per USD 1 billion exports

This rising productivity contributes toward making US manufacturing more competitive internationally. Thus, it is perhaps not surprising that US exports of goods are rising. And, they are doing so at such a pace that they are supporting an expanding number of jobs. Export-supported employment has varied quite a bit from year to year, but from endpoint to endpoint of the Department of Commerce study some 500,000 jobs were added:

1993: 6.1 million export supported jobs
2010: 6.6 million export supported jobs

Agricultural employment is also benefitting from exports. More and more jobs in the sector are supported by exports. In 2010, some 23.3% of jobs in agriculture were linked to exports. In 1993 it was just 15.3%. The service sector is also showing increased reliance on exports.

While export-supported employment levels have fluctuated, the indicators for export growth and labor productivity improvement are exhibiting clear, positive long-term trends. This is good news for the US economy.

All-in-all, the Commerce report provides a useful contribution to shedding some light on these US export and labour market developments. For an encore, it would be great to have a corresponding report on imports. (It is interesting to note that rising US imports of key inputs are contributing to part of the manufacturing productivity gains discussed above.)

What are the implications?

The US economy is demonstrating a growing integration with the rest of the world. More of our output is going to foreign markets. The country continues to make products sought by customers around the world. We still have our trade mojo.

But, this does not mean we can take it for granted. More investment is needed in education and skills, infrastructure, better regulation, and other factors to promote a dynamic, innovative and competitive economy. The global economy is more open and competitive than ever and presents challenges as well as opportunities. Past success is no guarantee of future performance.

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Rasmussen, Chris, and Martin Johnson (2012), Jobs Supported by Exports, 1993-2011, Office of Competition and Economic Analysis, US Department of Commerce, October
Link to the paper

CFR blog post on it

French capitalism is not dead!

French capitalism

Despite the kerfuffle over the new French government’s proposal to increase the top personal income tax rate to 75% and to nearly double the tax on dividends and other “unearned” income to 60%, France’s hard pressed capitalists persist. French capitalism is not dead!

France is home to many global brands from Michelin to Moet et Chandon, from L’Oreal to Total, among others. France’s multinational firms contribute substantially to the French economy, while operating in a tough regulatory and social environment. They succeed where many other firms in France fail. For example, unlike some neighboring countries like Germany, France has relatively few medium-sized firms.

Small investors in France

French Stock Exchange, Paris

Palais de Brongniart – French Stock Exchange, Paris
(Photo credit: ©ErickN, Shutterstock)

Similarly, France is home to a sizable number of individual investors. Something like 15% of the French population owns stock (compared to about 21% in the US). During the 1990s, there was an uptick in individual ownership of stocks associated with a series of privatizations of state holdings of firms like EADS (parent of Airbus) and Gas de France. Some shares were offered to residents of France at advantageous prices and some shares were reserved for employees of the enterprises. But, many other folks acquire shares via their employers, directly on the markets, or via investment clubs.

Actionaria

The large number of individuals holding stock was evident last weekend at the annual stock exchange exposition for small investors (Actionaria). This is a kind of trade show for companies listed on the French stock exchange to meet with shareholders, potential shareholders, journalists, job seekers and others. All sorts of people are there, from young job candidates, to seniors with retirement accounts, executives, small-investor club members and alternative lifestyle folks. But, the average age tends toward those with some grey hair. I guess I’m one of them. Most folks (including me) have just a modest amount of stock.

It is a festive atmosphere as folks wander about from booth to booth, talking with representatives from the various firms, gathering information, watching various demonstrations and video clips, collecting swag, and looking at sample products.This year, in view of the proposed tax reforms in France, there was also an atmosphere of solidarity.

I had an invitation from Michelin (as a shareholder) and a check list of other CAC 40 firms (French stock market index of the largest firms) that I wanted to contact: Vinci about construction markets, L’ Oreal about cosmetics, Societe Generale about banking, Air LIquide about industrial gases, GDF Suez about natural gas and Total about oil exploration. In speaking with various company representatives, one interesting common denominator was their enthusiasm about growth prospects elsewhere (not so much in France). Several enthused about the potential of emerging markets in Brazil, China, India, and South Africa, among other places. Some emphasized exciting technologies such as hydrogen powered cars, enhanced solar energy, on-line financial services or electric bicycles.

An interesting contrast with the US comes in the reporting requirements under the French regulatory regime. Shareholders generally have less say in the businesses and receive less detailed information than their US counterparts. They get the headline figures, but far less in terms of specifics. In some way this frees management to focus on long-term results (as evidenced by the evolution of the share price), but there are tradeoffs in terms of accountability and responsiveness to owners. Another contrast is in the social dimension of the enterprises. In France, there is much more discussion of the charitable and social works undertaken by the firms. And, there is much more personal outreach to shareholders via events, including out in the various regions of France.

Michelin shareholder meeting

My initial motivation in going was to attend a Michelin shareholder meeting. I’ve never been to such a meeting and was curious. Perhaps 500 investors turned up. The chief financial officer gave a rundown of the latest performance data and a senior executive handling innovation spoke about product development, but the star of the session was Jean-Dominique Senard, the president. He came across at first as a bit unassuming and affable, responding to wide-ranging questions and comments, which were non-technical and generally positive. But, he is clearly a master of his business and relations with the outside world. The President is clearly focused on the longer term and the positioning of the firm some 5 years out, rather than on quarter to quarter results. These are good things for long-term investors to see and hear.

The mood of the Michelin session was helped by the fact that the stock has beat the market average during the period since the global financial crisis. Michelin has also worked to improve its generally weak margins through innovation in tire structure (optimizing various parameters such as noise, energy efficiency, wet traction and dry traction among many others), increased focus on high-margin specialty products (like giant tires for mining vehicles), and investing in a big way in dynamic markets such as Brazil, China, India and the US.

There are also some interesting side projects such as a collapsible electric bike.  A few decades ago, much of Michelin’s rubber production was nationalized during the revolutions in South East Asia, so the company buys most of its rubber on international markets (it still produces some natural rubber on plantations in Brazil). In light of this, there is emphasis on development of synthetic rubber as an alternative (already something like a quarter of a tire’s composition is synthetic rubber, while old-fashioned rubber accounts for some 40%). One very cool innovation is the development of a wheel with all of the suspension, gearing and steering integrated inside. This saves on space in the car’s frame and can improve the overall efficiency.

The biggest reaction of shareholders at the Michelin meeting came when some in the audience asked what could be done about tax policies in France. The announced policies are perceived as penalizing investors and enterprises, despite some announced initiatives to improve competitiveness. The company officials sought to be somewhat diplomatic, but did note that the business environment had become more challenging. They noted that the government had indicated that it was concerned about competitiveness and sought to reduce labor and other costs, but this was far from yielding concrete results so far. There was a big round of applause to the expressions of concern.

Here’s to excellence!

I was grateful for the invitation to participate in the Actionaria exposition. It offered a unique window into an aspect of French life that one does not encounter in day-to-day life. I felt very welcome. It is great to see world-class businesses, to learn of innovation, and to hear of strategic orientations for French business. France is capable of business excellence and it is the interest of consumers and investors world-wide for this to continue!

Low-Cost Stimulus: Regulation and the US economy

Regulation and the US economy

As the US economy slowly recovers from the Great Recession while fiscal challenges still loom, one missing element in the discussion seems to be the potential to liberate economic potential via further regulatory reform. Regulatory reform is not a silver bullet solution, but it can deliver economy-wide medium to long-term benefits via improved performance of American business and government, all at a relatively low up-front cost.

US competitiveness

While the United States remains a dynamic and powerful economy, continued regulatory shortcomings in some areas are nonetheless contributing to a slow erosion of competitiveness. This is evident in several international indicators. For example:

  • The Fraser Institute compiles the annual Economic Freedom of the World index for 144 countries. The EFW index “measures the degree to which the policies and institutions of countries are supportive of economic freedom. The cornerstones of economic freedom are personal choice, voluntary exchange, freedom to compete, and security of privately owned property.” According to the Fraser Institute, the US rank has declined from 3rd place during the 1980s and 1990s to 19th in 2010.
  • The World Bank maintains the Ease of Doing Business index focused more specifically on regulations as they affect business. In 2013, the index employed 11 sets of objective indicators and covered 185 economies. The United States has maintained a 4th place ranking by performing fairly well in most of the indicator sets, while many other countries were inconsistent (e.g., in some cases performing highly in some categories, but poorly in others). Nonetheless, when one looks into the underlying indicators there are some areas where US performance falls well below the top 10. For example, with respect to the challenges faced by a medium-sized business located in New York City, the indicators of regulatory burdens place the US at 22nd in terms of trading across borders, 25th in terms of registering property, and 69th in terms of paying taxes. The particularly low score with respect to paying taxes is associated with both administrative burdens and financial costs. With a ranking of 69th in this category, the United States places just below Madagascar (68) and just ahead of Mongolia (70).
  • The World Economic Forum maintains a Global Competitiveness Index, which is a structured inquiry that takes into account executive opinion of key dimensions of economic competitiveness in 144 economies around the world. The United States has slipped from 1st place in 2006-07 to 7th place in 2012-13 (though subsequently climbing up a few places). Business executives listed inefficient government bureaucracy, tax rates and tax regulation as the top three problems in this context.

International institutions are not only monitoring progress on regulatory issues. Quite a few concrete initiatives are underway to improve regulatory frameworks around the world. For example, the OECD conducts an active program to promote regulatory reform using approaches such as country reviews and development of tools for improving regulation (e.g., a regulatory impact assessment tool). Since 1999, OECD has completed 31 country reviews — including one for the United States in 1999 — to “assess how countries manage the design, adoption and implementation of regulations.”

What to do?

Appropriate regulation is an essential part of a modern economy. The regulatory framework provides rules of the game for business, non-profits, government and other economic institutions. When the rules are properly specified, they provide clear objectives for economic actors without unduly constraining freedom. And, businesses and others should be free to innovate and find efficient ways to attain the regulatory objectives (e.g. reduction of pollution, improvement of safety, facilitation of trade, among others). In striving for these objectives, care should be taken to avoid unnecessarily burdening economic actors, as that would risk gumming up the functioning of the economy.

The United States has succeeded in previous regulatory reform initiatives. For example, one of the significant economic achievements of the Clinton-Gore administration was a streamlining of government regulation. A consensus approach was employed in identifying areas where action would be helpful. According to the Clinton Presidential Center, during the Clinton-Gore tenure some 16,000 pages of regulation were eliminated and 31,000 pages of regulation were redrafted in plain English. Some 640,000 pages of internal government agency rules were cut. In addition, government performance was reviewed and actions were taken to reduce the size of the bureaucracy while improving the operational performance of government agencies. Through such actions, the initiative known as Reinventing Government realized savings of some USD 136 billion during the years from 1993 to 2000. But the benefits extended beyond walls of government, because these actions also liberated businesses to improve their performance and the performance of the economy more broadly.

The OECD’s Review of Regulatory Reform in the United States (1999) was positive in its assessment of this period, while noting areas for improvement with respect to social issues and bureaucratic functioning. As stated in the blurb for the report:

“The United States has been a world leader in regulatory reform for a quarter century. Contrary to popular belief, the United States is not less regulated than other countries, but differently regulated due to the pro-competition policy stance of federal regulatory regimes, and the openness and contestability of regulatory processes. Far-reaching economic deregulation combined with efforts to improve the quality of social regulation have supported the construction of one of the most innovative, flexible and open economies in the OECD, while maintaining health, safety and environmental standards at relatively high levels. However, significant regulatory problems still exist. Improving the performance and cost-effectiveness of expensive social regulations and government formalities is a key challenge for regulatory quality. In a word, the challenge of regulatory reform in the United States is not how much regulation, but how good.”

Regulation remains on the political agenda in the US. Some action is underway, led by the Executive Branch. In May of 2012, the White House announced a series of measures intended to “save nearly $6 billion in the next five years by eliminating outdated requirements and unjustified costs. To ensure that the federal government continues this important work, the President also signed a new Executive Order today, making it a continuing obligation of our government to scrutinize rules on the books to see if they really make sense.”

But, as the international indicators demonstrate, more needs to be done. Some aspects, such as reform of tax regulation, will require co-operation of the Legislative Branch, including a degree of bipartisanship and frank consultation with a broad range of stakeholders. And, this is not to say that regulatory reform is a silver bullet solution. Many aspects of competitiveness are beyond easy reach of regulation or deregulation (e.g., quality of education). In addition, mistakes can be made in deregulation (e.g., some of the blame for the US financial crisis in 2008 may be due to failures of deregulation or failures to properly implement regulations that were on the books). Nonetheless, regulatory reform remains an underexploited policy lever, one that should be pursued because it is clearly in the national interest.